From: <Saved by Microsoft Internet Explorer 5>
Subject: Divorce is hell, but so is a bad marriage - www.smh.com.au
Date: Tue, 9 Dec 2003 20:56:13 -0800
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TD {
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A {
	
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@import url( textsize.css );
ADDRESS {
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}
BLOCKQUOTE {
	FONT-FAMILY: arial,verdana,tahoma,geneva,sans-serif,serif
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B {
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BODY {
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CAPTION {
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CENTER {
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DD {
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DIR {
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DIV {
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DL {
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DT {
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MENU {
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OL {
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P {
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STRONG {
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}
TD {
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}
TH {
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}
UL {
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}
A:link {
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TEXT-DECORATION: underline
}
A:visited {
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TEXT-DECORATION: underline
}
A:active {
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TEXT-DECORATION: underline
}
A:hover {
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TEXT-DECORATION: underline
}
BODY {
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}
H1 {
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}
H2 {
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H3 {
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}
H4 {
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}
H5 {
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}
H6 {
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}
HR {
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}
HTML {
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}
SMALL {
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}
STRONG {
	FONT-WEIGHT: bold
}
B {
	FONT-WEIGHT: bold
}
A.navcat:link {
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TEXT-DECORATION: none
}
A.navcat:visited {
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TEXT-DECORATION: none
}
A.navcat:active {
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TEXT-DECORATION: none
}
A.navcat:hover {
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TEXT-DECORATION: none
}
A.navsubcat:link {
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TEXT-DECORATION: none
}
A.navsubcat:visited {
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TEXT-DECORATION: none
}
A.navsubcat:active {
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TEXT-DECORATION: none
}
A.navsubcat:hover {
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TEXT-DECORATION: none
}
A.navdownstate:link {
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TEXT-DECORATION: none
}
A.navdownstate:visited {
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}
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}
A.kicker:link {
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A.kicker:visited {
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}
A.kicker:active {
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TEXT-DECORATION: none
}
A.kicker:hover {
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}
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}
A.headline:visited {
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}
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FONT-FAMILY: tahoma,arial,verdana,sans-serif; TEXT-DECORATION: none
}
A.headline:hover {
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}
.sectionbar {
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}
.sectionbartd1 {
	PADDING-RIGHT: 2px; PADDING-LEFT: 5px; FONT-WEIGHT: bold; FONT-SIZE: =
15px; PADDING-BOTTOM: 2px; PADDING-TOP: 2px; BACKGROUND-COLOR: #dddddd
}
.sectionbartd1generic {
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15px; PADDING-BOTTOM: 2px; COLOR: #fff; PADDING-TOP: 2px; =
BACKGROUND-COLOR: #dddddd
}
.sectionbartd2 {
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}
.sectionbartd2 A {
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}
.sectionbartd2 {
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PADDING-BOTTOM: 0px; PADDING-TOP: 0px
}
.primarysectionmarker {
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}
.secondarysectionmarker {
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}
.sectionhead {
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}
.sectionlinks {
	FONT-SIZE: 12px; BACKGROUND-COLOR: #efefef
}
.kicker {
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0px; FONT: 11px verdana,arial,helvetica,sans-serif; COLOR: #7d6926; =
PADDING-TOP: 0px
}
.kicker A {
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0px; FONT: 11px verdana,arial,helvetica,sans-serif; COLOR: #7d6926; =
PADDING-TOP: 0px
}
.head1 {
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}
.head2 {
	MARGIN: -1px 0% 0px; FONT: bold 105% tahoma,arial,verdana,sans-serif
}
.head3 {
	MARGIN: -1px 0% 0px; FONT: bold 100% tahoma,arial,verdana,sans-serif
}
.head4 {
	MARGIN: -1px 0% 0px; FONT: bold small tahoma,arial,verdana,sans-serif
}
.nonnewsheadline {
	MARGIN: -1px 0% 0px; FONT: bold 13px arial,helvetica,sans-serif
}
P.rhc {
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}
P.wof {
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}
.relatedlinks {
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}
P.nonrelatedlinks {
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}
P.articledetails {
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}
.published {
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}
TD.trail {
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}
DIV.trail {
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0px; PADDING-TOP: 6px
}
DIV.trail A:link {
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}
DIV.trail A:visited {
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}
DIV.trail A:active {
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}
DIV.trail A:hover {
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}
DIV.date {
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0px; PADDING-TOP: 6px
}
.relatedlinkbox {
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FONT-SIZE: 12px; BACKGROUND: #f2f2f2; PADDING-BOTTOM: 5px; MARGIN: 0px; =
WIDTH: 100%; PADDING-TOP: 5px; BORDER-BOTTOM-STYLE: none
}
P.picturecaption {
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#f2f2f2; PADDING-BOTTOM: 5px; MARGIN: 0px; PADDING-TOP: 5px
}
.picturecaption {
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#f2f2f2; PADDING-BOTTOM: 5px; MARGIN: 0px; PADDING-TOP: 5px
}
.featurebox {
	BORDER-RIGHT: #ccc 1px solid; PADDING-RIGHT: 6px; BORDER-TOP: #ccc 1px =
solid; PADDING-LEFT: 6px; BACKGROUND: #f2f2f2; PADDING-BOTTOM: 6px; =
MARGIN: 20px 0px 0px; BORDER-LEFT: #ccc 1px solid; PADDING-TOP: 6px; =
BORDER-BOTTOM: #ccc 1px solid
}
.featurebox2 {
	PADDING-RIGHT: 3px; BORDER-TOP: #b7a567 1px dotted; PADDING-LEFT: 3px; =
BACKGROUND: #faf1e1; PADDING-BOTTOM: 3px; MARGIN: 20px 0px 0px; =
PADDING-TOP: 3px; BORDER-BOTTOM: #b7a567 1px dotted
}
.articleextrasbox {
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#f2f2f2; MARGIN: 0px 5px 0px 0px; BORDER-LEFT: #999 1px solid; =
BORDER-BOTTOM: #999 1px solid
}
.rhcsectionlinkson {
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#f2f2f2; BORDER-LEFT: #ccc 1px solid; BORDER-BOTTOM: #ccc 1px solid
}
.rhcsectionlinksoff {
	BORDER-RIGHT: #ccc 1px solid; BORDER-TOP: #ccc 1px solid; BACKGROUND: =
#fff; BORDER-LEFT: #ccc 1px solid; BORDER-BOTTOM: #ccc 1px solid
}
.rhcsectionlinkson TD {
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5px; PADDING-TOP: 5px
}
.rhcsectionlinksoff TD {
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5px; PADDING-TOP: 5px
}
.rhcsectionlinksoff TD UL IMG {
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}
.rhcsectionlinkson TD UL IMG {
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}
.bnsectionlinkson {
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#f2f2f2; BORDER-LEFT: #ccc 1px solid; BORDER-BOTTOM: #ccc 1px solid
}
.bnsectionlinksoff {
	BORDER-RIGHT: #ccc 1px solid; BORDER-TOP: #ccc 1px solid; BACKGROUND: =
#fff; BORDER-LEFT: #ccc 1px solid; BORDER-BOTTOM: #ccc 1px solid
}
.bnsectionlinkson TD {
	PADDING-RIGHT: 5px; PADDING-LEFT: 5px; PADDING-BOTTOM: 5px; =
PADDING-TOP: 5px
}
.bnsectionlinksoff TD {
	PADDING-RIGHT: 5px; PADDING-LEFT: 5px; PADDING-BOTTOM: 5px; =
PADDING-TOP: 5px
}
.toolbar {
	FONT-SIZE: 11px
}
toolbar TD {
	FONT-SIZE: 11px
}
.toolbar {
	CLEAR: both
}
.breakingnews {
	BORDER-RIGHT: #999 1px solid; BORDER-TOP: #999 1px solid; BACKGROUND: =
#f2f2f2; MARGIN: 0px 0px 10px 10px; BORDER-LEFT: #999 1px solid; =
BORDER-BOTTOM: #999 1px solid
}
.breakingnews P {
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}
.breakingnews SMALL {
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}
.footer {
	FONT-SIZE: 12px
}
.nav {
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}
.pulloutquote {
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}
#entnav {
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.entfeature1wof P {
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.towerad {
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.kicker {
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.relatedlinkbox {
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}
.picturecaption {
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}
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}
.rhcstorybody IMG {
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}
.relatedlinks IMG {
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}
.sectionbartd1 A:link {
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}
.sectionbartd1 A:visited {
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}
.sectionbartd1 A:active {
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}
.sectionbartd1generic A:active {
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}
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LI {
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UL {
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}
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LIST-STYLE-TYPE: square
}
.rhcsectionlinksoff UL {
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0px; MARGIN: 0px 0px 0px 15px; COLOR: #999; PADDING-TOP: 0px; =
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P IMG {
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P.rhc IMG {
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}
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}
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}
#entnav {
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}
#entnav TD {
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}
#entnav A {
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}
#entnav A:hover {
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}
#entnav SMALL {
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#navon {
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}
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      <H1><HEADLINE>Divorce is hell, but so is a bad =
marriage</HEADLINE></H1>
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            <P class=3Darticledetails><DATE>December 10, =
2003</DATE><BR></P></TD>
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      <P><STRONG>The return of a show-fault regime would be a backward =
step for=20
      unhappy couples, write Justin Wolfers and Rohan =
Wolfers.</STRONG></P><BOD>
      <P>Radical change in the Australian family form has fundamentally =
changed=20
      our society. Couples are postponing marriage, or replacing it with =

      cohabitation. Divorce rates are rising and fertility rates =
falling. While=20
      this transition presents a challenge to policymakers, we must =
remember=20
      that ill-considered legislation can do more harm than good.</P>
      <P>With the parliamentary committee on family and community =
affairs due to=20
      report its findings of the child custody inquiry to Parliament =
before=20
      December 31, Australian family law is again re-entering the =
political=20
      debate. </P>
      <P>In a book launched last Friday, Barry Maley, a senior fellow at =
the=20
      influential Centre for Independent Studies, has fired the first =
salvo,=20
      arguing for a reversal of unilateral divorce laws in Australia. =
</P>
      <P>Since the introduction of the 1975 Family Law Act, Australians =
have=20
      been free to file for divorce irrespective of the consent of their =
spouse,=20
      and divorce will be granted so long as there is a one-year =
separation.=20
      Maley argues that these laws are a factor in high divorce rates, =
and have=20
      transformed marriage into little more than an uncertain bond =
between=20
      partners. To reverse this, he proposes a divorce regime where the =
only way=20
      out of marriage should be through the consent of your partner, or =
proof of=20
      marital fault, such as abuse or infidelity.<ISLANDAD>
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      <P>Unfortunately for Australia's 4.1 million married couples and =
4.8=20
      million children, this debate too often rests more on colourful =
political=20
      rhetoric than careful analysis. Until now. With Dr Betsey =
Stevenson we=20
      recently completed a multi-year research project into the effects =
of=20
      unilateral divorce laws. The results are stark, showing =
far-reaching=20
      consequences that transcend the typical political debate.</P>
      <P>We study the US because it effectively provides a large-scale =
social=20
      experiment. There divorce is an issue of state jurisdiction, and =
so the=20
      introduction of no-fault divorce varies from state to state. Some =
states=20
      have yet to adopt any progressive reform, and so were ideal as a =
point of=20
      comparison. </P>
      <P>The findings reveal that under no-fault laws a wife can =
threaten to=20
      leave an abusive husband, and this becomes a credible threat. =
Under the=20
      old regime, this was not so. Our theory is that the fear of =
divorce=20
      creates a strong incentive for abusive partners to behave. </P>
      <P>More generally, easy access to divorce redistributes marital =
power from=20
      the party interested in preserving the marriage to the partner who =
wants=20
      out. In most instances, this resulted in an increase in marital =
power for=20
      women, and a decrease in power for men. </P>
      <P>Our analysis of US data revealed the legislative change had =
caused=20
      female suicide to decline by about a fifth, domestic violence to =
decline=20
      by about a third, and intimate femicide - the husband's murder of =
his wife=20
      - to decline by about a tenth.</P>
      <P>Australian data seems largely consistent with these findings. =
In the=20
      decade after the introduction of the 1975 Family Law Act, female =
suicide=20
      declined by roughly 20 per cent, or about 100 victims a year, when =

      compared with the preceding decade.</P>
      <P>Although there was no Australian data on domestic violence and =
intimate=20
      femicide for the 1970s, our findings from the US suggest that =
Australia=20
      has seen about 50,000 fewer incidences of domestic violence a year =
as a=20
      direct result of the act.</P>
      <P>Interestingly, while the rise in divorce rates did closely =
coincide=20
      with legislative change, our analysis suggests that liberalised =
divorce=20
      laws were not responsible for any long-term change in divorce =
patterns.=20
      </P>
      <P>State-to-state comparisons in the US show that aside from a =
spike,=20
      legislative change had little to no effect on divorce rates. =
Indeed, the=20
      long-run rise in divorce was the result of broad social, cultural =
and=20
      religious change throughout the 1960s and '70s.</P>
      <P>Like the state-to-state comparison in the US, we ran the same =
tests on=20
      Australia and New Zealand (where unilateral divorce was introduced =
only in=20
      1981). In both countries there was a spike in the divorce rate in =
the=20
      years shortly after the reforms.</P>
      <P>However, this probably reflected the dissolution of a stored up =
pool of=20
      failed marriages in which one spouse was trapped by fear, =
impoverishment=20
      or an inability to prove fault. In the longer term, we found the=20
      legislation was responsible for only a very minor change in =
Australia's=20
      divorce rate.</P>
      <P>While society often bemoans the end of traditional family =
structures,=20
      reform needs to focus on improving bad marriages rather than =
prohibiting=20
      healthy divorces. A return to a pre-1975 divorce regime would mean =
little=20
      more than a return to abuse and violence in the household. </P>
      <P><B>Dr Justin Wolfers is an assistant professor of economics at =
Stanford=20
      Business School. Rohan Wolfers is a research associate at =
OzProspect, a=20
      non-partisan public policy think tank. They are brothers and =
children of a=20
      divorce.</P>
      <P></B></P></BOD>
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